Over the past week, our team at BlueSky Risk Intelligence has observed a continued and accelerating increase in protests, activism, and associated disruptions across Canada. As outlined in our previous forecasts, protest activity has escalated significantly nationwide. Current analysis indicates a 42% increase in protest events and a 46% rise in overall attendance, reflecting both heightened mobilization and broader public engagement.
Key Drivers Behind the Increase
This surge is being driven by a convergence of geopolitical and political factors, including the ongoing Israel–Hamas conflict, sustained instability in Iran, U.S. military actions in Venezuela, and growing global opposition to the Donald Trump administration. Based on current indicators, our assessment is that protest activity will remain elevated and is likely to intensify across multiple issue areas in the near term.
As negotiations between Israel and Hamas show signs of stalling, we anticipate a corresponding increase in pro-Palestinian demonstrations across major Canadian urban centres. Notably, we are also observing a shift in protest tactics. Planning is expanding beyond traditional outdoor public spaces into shopping centres, transit hubs, and other indoor or semi-controlled venues, increasing the potential for disruption to commercial operations and critical infrastructure.
Iran, Venezuela, and Expanding Protest Narratives
Continued instability in Iran, particularly any indication of further U.S. military involvement, will likely drive an increase in pro-Iranian or “liberation-style” demonstrations within Canada. At the same time, ongoing U.S. actions related to Venezuela are expected to sustain and potentially escalate protest activity focused on American involvement in the region.
Together, these developments have fueled a broader rise in anti-Trump rhetoric and activism globally. Within Canada, our BlueSky team continues to observe organized and sustained protest planning directly tied to these themes.
We are also closely monitoring emerging narratives surrounding potential U.S. military posturing toward Greenland. Should this issue escalate into concrete military action, we assess a high likelihood of increased protest activity in Canada and internationally. Given Greenland’s geographic proximity and strategic importance, such developments could strain U.S., Canada relations, an angle that has already begun to appear in protest messaging.
Domestic Activism:
Anti-FIFA Momentum
In addition to geopolitical drivers, domestic issue-based activism is gaining traction. In Vancouver and Toronto, anti-FIFA sentiment is shifting from online discussion to active protest planning. Multiple organizations are now holding meetings to coordinate demonstrations tied to upcoming FIFA-related events, signaling a transition from commentary to execution.
How BlueSky Supports Stakeholders
These insights are generated by our team at BlueSky, a program developed and operated by experts at Paladin Risk Solutions.
BlueSky combines early-warning intelligence with real-time monitoring to give organizations a complete picture of risks and threats, including protests and disruptions. From identifying emerging planning and coordination in advance, to tracking protests live as they unfold, including movement, scale, and risk, BlueSky enables stakeholders to anticipate disruptions, make informed decisions, and proactively protect people, assets, and operations.
As protest activity across Canada continues to evolve in scale and sophistication, timely intelligence and proactive risk management remain critical to maintaining safety, continuity, and resilience. For more information on BlueSky visit us at https://paladinrisksolutions.com/bluesky/ or reach out to our Paladin Risk Solutions team directly.
